- Very strong market for past couple of days
- But this is still volatile market
- 89% refining capacity instead of 93-94% which pushed the whole refining industry up along with the whole oil sector
- Three great west coast refiners: CVX, TSO, FTO
- GS down on earnings, the expectations were too high but it the numbers were not unbelievable, EB suggested that last year the stock sold off for 3 days after earnings then went higher and stayed
- Russia, South America, China up across the board around 3%
- Russia has been lagging emerging markets, best credit story, growing 6-7% yearly for last 5 and will for next 5 years, political risk may have reduced in G8
- Great time to buy: oil & gas sectors - OGZPY
- Also South Korea: PKX
- Stay long energy, metals, miners
- ICE is either going to be a target after CME-BOT merger, or they will buy somebody else
- Aggressive options activity in ACF for July and August 30 calls
- Ag play: MON, AGU, DE, BG, DBA (commodity fund)
- NOK 50% ahead of MOT in emerging markets, is an industry leader
- There is a sea change in phone prices with iPhone at $499 and NOK N95 at $795, RIMM is a definite beneficiary of this change which offers added services
- Shutterfly (SFLY) - service for sharing photos, might be take over candidate
- Baby boomers cruising big time but due to fuel costs cruise companies are not worth buying right now
- Instead stick with SSW, TK, DRYS
- Final trade: COP, TYC, SFLY, NMX
Thursday, June 14, 2007
Fast Money Recap June 14
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